What is hemosiderin?

Research demonstrates that the biggest factor in determining whether or not an investor earns returns that match the overall earnings in the market is having a savvy advisor who chooses the right stocks.

In order for a test or instrument to be valid it must first be reliable.

According to Nate Silver, success in baseball and poker requires high skill, but not luck.

What is hemosiderin?

Qualitative data is superior to quantitative data.

Local weather forecasts are typically more accurate than those from the National Weather Service.

Humans add value to weather forecasts, above and beyond what can be gleaned from computer forecasts alone.

Ratings agencies (e.g., Moody’s) used statistical models to make _____________appear to be ____________ to investors.

Nate Silver, author of Signal and Noise, discusses how the ratings agencies did not accurately assess the risk of CDO’s (i.e., mortgage securities) because they failed to see the correlation between mortgage default rates. This is an example of what issue when using statistical models to make predictions.